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Sabina runs Wednesday
Sabina runs tomorrow at 3:30 in Pietermaritzburg, and I will miss her race, and a Racing Association Directors meeting, for a Gauteng Law Council meeting in Pretoria.  It's a small race, but still the feature of the day and I am hoping she can win again.  The only problems are that again she has drawn badly, and she carries top weight.  She has won 5 races, one of her competitors, Far off Thunder, has already won 4 of 5 races - and gets to carry 8 kilograms less!  Sabina would effectively, apart from the bad draw, have to be 8 lengths better than her to win - and that would be most unusual for a horse that has won 4 races already!  I don't bet often or very much, but the money has already come in Durban for her - they priced her up at 7/2 and someone has already bet to win R20 000.  So her odds have been cut to 2/1.  I am hopeful, and I know she is well, but weights do stop trains as the racing saying goes - so I will have to hope!  I guess 2/1 is fair - for those who understand odds, that means 1 chance in 3 of winning - and I guess that's a pretty fair assessment with the proviso that if Far off Thunder is any good, Sabina can't beat her at these weights.

Posted by Michael de Broglio on Tuesday 21-Jun-05


Sabina runs Wednesday

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